With Ken Roczen Out, Who Will Win The FIM World Supercross Championship?

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Through three rounds of the 2025 FIM World Supercross Championship Ken Roczen is the SX1 (450 Class) points leader. With two rounds remaining (Sweden and South Africa) Ken Roczen has finished his “season” racing the series.

According to Steve Matthes, who spoke to the points leaders after round 3 in Australia last weekend, this was the plan all along. Ken was only ever going to race the first three rounds. So, while the series never acknowledged that small detail and continued to promote Ken and give him championship points–unlike other wildcard entries such as Eli Tomac, Cooper Webb, Justin Cooper and Haiden Deegan–as it stands, Ken is the points leader.

“The part that ticks me off a little bit, that’s been set in stone for a long time, and then now it’s being said that, you know, I even read something where it’s like, “Roczen kicked out of WSX.” Now it’s being put that way,” Roczen told Racer X. “It’s been set for a long time [that he was not going to race the whole series] but nobody mentioned it.”

Ken will be replaced on the PMG roster by Colt Nichols for the final two rounds.

So, with two rounds to go, and the points leader no longer racing, who is Most Likely to grab the championship? Let’s look at the contenders.

The Players

Ken Roczen: 122pts

Christian Craig: 95pts

Joey Savatgy: 83pts

Jason Anderson: 77pts

Seeing as the series continues to promote Roczen as the points leader, one is to assume that he will keep his championship points through three rounds. I think. Maybe his points don’t actually count? I don’t know at this point. If they do count, that means he has a 27 point gap over Christian Craig in second and a 37 point lead over Joey Savatgy in third.

Craig is coming off a race win and second overall finish in Australia and enters Sweden this weekend with a 12 point lead over Savatgy. While retirement seemed like a possibility after his early departure at Monster Energy/Yamaha Star Racing, the 34-year-old has found a great home with Quad Lock Honda and has revitalized his career and will go head-to-head with his teammate Savatgy for the title with Anderson in the mix as well.

So, who wins?

Can I say, I don’t know? As of today, Craig, to me, is the favorite. He’s riding well, WSX features big whoops (his specialty), and with no more wild cards left (that I’m aware of) to get between the top three, Craig is in control. So, as of 12.3.25 I am going Craig for the title. I have a right to change this after Sweden. My column, my rules.

Until next week…

Main image: WSX